This Oscar year has been the hardest year to pick the best of categories. The competition has been tight and there are a lot of less popular movies that are making some riffs in the Academy Awards. Here are my picks of who will win, who should win, and the dark horse.
Who will win: American Hustle
Who Should Win: 12 Years a Slave
The Dark Horse: Gravity
The big talk is that 12 years a Slave will take it. However this is the third movie nominated made by David O. Russell that had good chances of winning best picture. I think the upset will happen to please Hollywood. I do think 12 Years a Slave is a better choice. Gravity however is a very strong horse. It was brilliantly done and mark my words if Gravity doesn’t pull off some major upsets.
Who will win: Matthew McConaughey – The Dallas Buyers Club
Who Should Win: Matthew McConaughey – The Dallas Buyers Club
The Dark Horse: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
I have never been a big fan of Matthew McConaughey with all the idiotic films he has done. However his growth as an actor and picking mature parts, his performance was one of the best this year, and won’t be a surprise to see him win the Oscar. DiCaprio was what made Wolf of Wall Street great…so he will be a threat to McConaughey as this year’s dark horse.
Who Will Win: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Who Should Win: Sandra Bullock - Gravity
The Dark Horse: Amy Adams – American Hustle
The category for Best Actress will be the most difficult to pick. Cate Blanchett’s performance in Blue Jasmine is her best performance since playing Jude in I’m not there. I do think Sandra Bullock should win the award. This was her best performance, and how many movies are there only 3 actors in the film, and it is as intense or as good as Gravity? It hasn’t been since Moon with was much underrated were you see one or two actors carry a whole film. However….Amy Adams could pull it off. She could pull off the surprise. It was her best work since The Fighter, but I could see she is the new bridesmaid in always being nominated, but never winning.
Best Supporting Actor
Who Will Win: Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Who Should Win: Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
The Dark Horse: Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
The only reason why Dallas Buyers Club is even on the map is because of McConaughey and Leto’s performances in Dallas Buyers Club. He should win in it, and he will win it. However Michael Fassbender is a phenomenal actor who is a close second in this nomination.
Best Supporting Actress
Who Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Who Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o
The Dark Horse: Lupita Nyong’o
Jennifer Lawrence will probably win this year. She is the world’s favorite actress on film these days. However I don’t think she should win. She did a great job in the performance, but I didn’t feel like the right actress for the part. Lupita Nyong’o had her heart and soul into her performance, and should win and hopefully takes the upset.
Who Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
Who Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
The Dark Horse: Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
I am a big Alfonso Cuaron fan. When Gravity came out, his direction should be the lock of the night. Gravity is a master piece through his eyes. He has the true eye set like Stanley Kubrick of space and fantasy.
Best Original Screenplay
Who Will Win: Her
Who Should Win: Her
Dark Horse: Nebraska
Steve Jobs would have been proud of seeing the movie Her and the emotional movie of a Phoenix purchasing an operating system and having a relationship with her. It was an s good as screenplay as Lars and the Real Girl. Nebraska however is the Dark Horse.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Who Will Win: 12 Years a Slave
Who Should Win: 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: Philomena
Though 12 Years a Slave is the sure win, Philomena can pull off the upset. Steve Coogin did his best work in this film. It will be a close one but 12 Years a Slave will take it.
Best Animated Motion Feature
Who Will Win: Frozen
Who Should Win: The Wind Rises
Dark Horse: The Wind Rises
Disney’s Frozen will win yeah, Disney has finally made consecutive animated films that are good. However Hayao Miyazaki should win for this film. He is best animated film storyteller in film. This movie is very good like the other masterpieces he has made. Hopefully the Academy will do this right and pick the wind rises for the Oscar.
Many will disagree with my picks, but we shall see who brings home the Oscar!